Europa Conference League · resolved market
IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa77a890a88fc50577b0e1368ca8e55706eed3bac02cc79f62e7e82d45919bc1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,755$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 37c | 2,632$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.26 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 44c | 1,375$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.59 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 66c | 943.09$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.56 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…4a90backed Yes | 52c | 211.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 60c | 189.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 48c | 187.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 186.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 64c | 128$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 60c | 125.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 45c | 105.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 62c | 104.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 40c | 100.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 39c | 86.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…b29abacked No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 58c | 69.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 56c | 60.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 41c | 51.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 55c | 49.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 49c | 38.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 33.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 27.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 63c | 24.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 44c | 22.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 58c | 18.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 0.5Over won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5Under won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5Under won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 3.5Under won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 4.5Under won
- IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IFK Göteborg (-1.5)KAA Gent won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)IFK Göteborg won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-2.5)IFK Göteborg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.