Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Terence Atmane vs James Duckworth
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd88d902cb5eabe2a57dbeeec3317b82ec036c8c59b45628797059802ee8248a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duckworthof Atmane, Duckworth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Duckworth | 57c | 14,000$7,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,061.04 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atmane | 44c | 7,243$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Atmane | 0c | 3,699$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atmane | 45c | 1,673$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.15 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Duckworth | 52c | 1,290$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.19 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Atmane | 49c | 812.44$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.36 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Atmane | 48c | 775$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atmane | 40c | 598$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.1 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Atmane | 38c | 436.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Duckworth | 51c | 429.86$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.93 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Duckworth | 51c | 347.54$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Atmane | 7c | 302.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Atmane | 39c | 300$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Atmane | 48c | 277.9$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Atmane | 4c | 270.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Duckworth | 56c | 248.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Atmane | 44c | 247.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Atmane | 44c | 224.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Atmane | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Duckworth | 77c | 187.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Atmane | 41c | 164.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Atmane | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Atmane | 48c | 102.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Duckworth | 56c | 100.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Duckworth | 53c | 84.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Atmane | 46c | 72.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Duckworth | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Atmane | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Atmane | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Atmane | 53c | 30.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Atmane | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Atmane | 33c | 29.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Duckworth | 57c | 26.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Atmane | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Duckworth | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Atmane | 45c | 24.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Atmane | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Atmane | 52c | 20.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Duckworth | 52c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Duckworth | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b4…c024backed Duckworth | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.