Tennis · resolved market
ITF Florence: Lan Mi vs Jo-Yee Chan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f0676d9071e831ad08aecd9e3651cb43db631df22edf17d74ec5564ed2da5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jo-Yee Chanof Lan Mi, Jo-Yee Chan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lan Mi | 21c | 3,074$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 74c | 2,875$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.47 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lan Mi | 15c | 581$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lan Mi | 15c | 419$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 79c | 321.93$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lan Mi | 15c | 273.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…2078backed Jo-Yee Chan | 75c | 264.64$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lan Mi | 19c | 259.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lan Mi | 13c | 253.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Jo-Yee Chan | 62c | 211.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lan Mi | 39c | 194.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lan Mi | 18c | 123.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Jo-Yee Chan | 68c | 106.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…d0e6backed Lan Mi | 15c | 102.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Lan Mi | 16c | 100.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lan Mi | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Lan Mi | 16c | 82.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lan Mi | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Lan Mi | 30c | 71.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Lan Mi | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lan Mi | 17c | 71.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Lan Mi | 35c | 61.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Jo-Yee Chan | 59c | 54.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Lan Mi | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lan Mi | 24c | 48.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jo-Yee Chan | 65c | 44.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Jo-Yee Chan | 78c | 38.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 59c | 28.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lan Mi | 39c | 26.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lan Mi | 39c | 25.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Jo-Yee Chan | 59c | 24.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.