CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs BakS eSports (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9324a74f229650936dc6d11a66f22b8d1d99874c621c9c10eb0945c3c2cc417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ReThinkof ReThink, BakS eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BakS eSports | 51c | 4,363$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.07 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ReThink | 34c | 1,236$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.28 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed BakS eSports | 3c | 1,004$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked BakS eSports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ReThink | 57c | 795.32$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.47 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed BakS eSports | 16c | 779.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BakS eSports | 35c | 619.18$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked BakS eSports | 46c | 519.42$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.08 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BakS eSports | 40c | 502.66$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BakS eSports | 40c | 496$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BakS eSports | 28c | 479.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed BakS eSports | 35c | 430$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked BakS eSports | 41c | 423.81$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ReThink | 60c | 421.13$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ReThink | 64c | 395.5$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BakS eSports | 38c | 284.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked BakS eSports | 35c | 204$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BakS eSports | 24c | 200.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BakS eSports | 41c | 199.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed ReThink | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ReThink | 49c | 140.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ReThink | 59c | 139.49$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed BakS eSports | 50c | 124.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed ReThink | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed BakS eSports | 55c | 121.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed ReThink | 60c | 109.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed BakS eSports | 35c | 107.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed BakS eSports | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd554…06e6backed ReThink | 40c | 95.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed BakS eSports | 52c | 95.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed BakS eSports | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked BakS eSports | 29c | 77.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed ReThink | 54c | 67.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BakS eSports | 32c | 66.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed ReThink | 54c | 63.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BakS eSports | 62c | 59.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BakS eSports | 41c | 56.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked ReThink | 48c | 44.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ReThink | 67c | 39.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked ReThink | 42c | 30.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ReThink | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed ReThink | 46c | 29.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed ReThink | 63c | 25.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed BakS eSports | 78c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked BakS eSports | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed BakS eSports | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked BakS eSports | 61c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked BakS eSports | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ReThink vs BakS eSports (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ReThink vs BakS eSports - Map 1 WinnerReThink won
- Counter-Strike: ReThink vs BakS eSports - Map 2 WinnerBakS eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.