Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Martyna Kubka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd93a94691c5210bd48f25cabf41ea7bdb65a2d60bc69d3f8292e26f45a484900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Polina Iatcenkoof Polina Iatcenko, Martyna Kubka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Martyna Kubka | 48c | 1,023$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.04 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Polina Iatcenko | 52c | 1,018$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Martyna Kubka | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Polina Iatcenko | 38c | 999.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.31 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Martyna Kubka | 62c | 865.76$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.77 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Martyna Kubka | 62c | 739.05$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.21 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Polina Iatcenko | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Martyna Kubka | 20c | 301.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Polina Iatcenko | 38c | 260.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Martyna Kubka | 15c | 205.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Polina Iatcenko | 64c | 175.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Martyna Kubka | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martyna Kubka | 41c | 127.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Martyna Kubka | 48c | 122$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Martyna Kubka | 65c | 103.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Polina Iatcenko | 37c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Martyna Kubka | 60c | 65.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Martyna Kubka | 58c | 58.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Polina Iatcenko | 63c | 56.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Polina Iatcenko | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…3579backed Martyna Kubka | 20c | 51.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Martyna Kubka | 60c | 43.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Polina Iatcenko | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Polina Iatcenko | 39c | 33.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Polina Iatcenko | 41c | 32.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Martyna Kubka | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Polina Iatcenko | 34c | 29.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Martyna Kubka | 44c | 29.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Martyna Kubka | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Polina Iatcenko | 39c | 25.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Polina Iatcenko | 56c | 22.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Martyna Kubka | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Polina Iatcenko | 56c | 19.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Martyna Kubka | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Martyna Kubka | 63c | 16.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…cb46backed Polina Iatcenko | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.