Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd956f4a206abf3568c93c83d22333b27756d620c694760f88d1d638a06eb8205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Contingent Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Contingent Esports | 5c | 5,855$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.75 | 512 | 44.3%227 W · 285 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Contingent Esports | 8c | 2,826$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 1,341 | 38.4%515 W · 826 L | -70.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Contingent Esports | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Contingent Esports | 6c | 1,569$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 1,460 | 38.4%560 W · 900 L | -44.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…85d5backed Contingent Esports | 8c | 1,020$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Contingent Esports | 5c | 824.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 892 | 44.1%393 W · 499 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Contingent Esports | 7c | 730.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 1,366 | 47.4%648 W · 718 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5cc0backed Contingent Esports | 11c | 700$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Contingent Esports | 7c | 592.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 668 | 43.3%289 W · 379 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Contingent Esports | 18c | 500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 488 | 36.5%178 W · 310 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Contingent Esports | 8c | 412$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 250 | 35.2%88 W · 162 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Contingent Esports | 5c | 391.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1,925 | 37.1%715 W · 1,210 L | -115.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Contingent Esports | 7c | 385.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Contingent Esports | 9c | 280.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Contingent Esports | 15c | 240.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 1,877 | 39.9%749 W · 1,128 L | -66.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Contingent Esports | 9c | 233.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 311 | 43.7%136 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Contingent Esports | 7c | 233.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,954 | 42.4%829 W · 1,125 L | -43.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Contingent Esports | 14c | 222$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2,255 | 33.1%746 W · 1,509 L | -76.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Contingent Esports | 14c | 182.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 2,058 | 30.6%629 W · 1,429 L | -175.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Contingent Esports | 12c | 100.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 296 | 30.7%91 W · 205 L | -32.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Contingent Esports | 14c | 75.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 127 | 34.6%44 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed NRG Esports | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,411 | 44.8%632 W · 779 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)NRG Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.