Tennis · resolved market
Vicenza: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Joel Schwaerzler
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd958b41537b082d295d06f3afe0226a08125919a5fbd00bf2e636fcd9d97df0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pol Martin Tiffonof Pol Martin Tiffon, Joel Schwaerzler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 77c | 2,160$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 65c | 1,652$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.35 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 61c | 1,241$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.03 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 45c | 1,080$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.78 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Joel Schwaerzler | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Joel Schwaerzler | 42c | 706.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joel Schwaerzler | 36c | 704.34$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Joel Schwaerzler | 41c | 662.6$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 629.38$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.1 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 23c | 617.36$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…08b8backed Joel Schwaerzler | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Joel Schwaerzler | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joel Schwaerzler | 39c | 450.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 60c | 358.04$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Joel Schwaerzler | 55c | 357.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 45c | 357.14$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 44c | 320.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 46c | 304.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.67 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 292.36$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Joel Schwaerzler | 41c | 240.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 47c | 218$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…3fa2backed Joel Schwaerzler | 54c | 205.56$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Joel Schwaerzler | 48c | 161.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Joel Schwaerzler | 55c | 148$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 55c | 133.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Joel Schwaerzler | 21c | 126.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Joel Schwaerzler | 42c | 120.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Joel Schwaerzler | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a7…4069backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 46c | 93.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 38c | 87.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Joel Schwaerzler | 53c | 83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 42c | 81.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 63c | 80.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…63d9backed Joel Schwaerzler | 64c | 73.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 70.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 41c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Joel Schwaerzler | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 46c | 54.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…c88fbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 38c | 52.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 38c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Joel Schwaerzler | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 69c | 32.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 65c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 59c | 28.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 50c | 25.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 77c | 24.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Joel Schwaerzler | 47c | 24.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa432…5082backed Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 21.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…aa96backed Joel Schwaerzler | 55c | 20.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Joel Schwaerzler | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Joel Schwaerzler | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.