Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd98a415deafc4ed9967509a7cb6c57a82e56fec24d29041974dfd987a6304b62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 13c | 1,713$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.45 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 20c | 1,224$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 76c | 682.89$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 648.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 80c | 598.31$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 21c | 583$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 21c | 583$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 79c | 580.46$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 70c | 577.52$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.92 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 21c | 565.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 79c | 475.21$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 29c | 403.17$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 73c | 400$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 27c | 319.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 79c | 303.25$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 21c | 295.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 67c | 250.13$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 21c | 219.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 79c | 193.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 79c | 151.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 76c | 131.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 80c | 117.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 80c | 115.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 35c | 112.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 79c | 78.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked No | 21c | 77.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.9wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Yes | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 79c | 51.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…a8abbacked Yes | 79c | 50.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…d728backed No | 24c | 50.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Yes | 70c | 48.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 79c | 27.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Yes | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Yes | 80c | 22.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a3…c1e3backed Yes | 75c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…aadebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FK Velež Mostar end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Velež Mostar win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.