Tennis · resolved market
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Elias Ymer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9f5da56ec3f7aa21fb7e4aa1c81d2c3e4e6ed59227c92385e5345294e352519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Glinkaof Daniil Glinka, Elias Ymer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elias Ymer | 8c | 4,588$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elias Ymer | 38c | 2,346$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniil Glinka | 54c | 1,344$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Daniil Glinka | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0890backed Elias Ymer | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elias Ymer | 41c | 869.66$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.72 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elias Ymer | 23c | 855.81$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Daniil Glinka | 66c | 831.92$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.18 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniil Glinka | 59c | 815.01$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.79 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…235fbacked Daniil Glinka | 53c | 773.16$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniil Glinka | 75c | 628.21$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Elias Ymer | 48c | 496.24$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Daniil Glinka | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Elias Ymer | 23c | 374.04$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Daniil Glinka | 56c | 355$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Elias Ymer | 45c | 334.53$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Elias Ymer | 49c | 317.35$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Elias Ymer | 34c | 236.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Elias Ymer | 45c | 235.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Elias Ymer | 13c | 200.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 88 | 10.2%9 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Daniil Glinka | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Daniil Glinka | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daniil Glinka | 61c | 143.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Elias Ymer | 9c | 121.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Daniil Glinka | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Daniil Glinka | 67c | 99.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Daniil Glinka | 65c | 95.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Elias Ymer | 18c | 92.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…5d85backed Daniil Glinka | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fd…2c1dbacked Daniil Glinka | 74c | 87.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elias Ymer | 38c | 82.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Daniil Glinka | 73c | 80.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Elias Ymer | 37c | 80.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Daniil Glinka | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Daniil Glinka | 54c | 71.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Daniil Glinka | 73c | 66.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Daniil Glinka | 51c | 50.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Elias Ymer | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Daniil Glinka | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Daniil Glinka | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Elias Ymer | 31c | 41.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elias Ymer | 48c | 28.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…dbddbacked Daniil Glinka | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elias Ymer | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Daniil Glinka | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elias Ymer | 40c | 25.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Elias Ymer | 46c | 25.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Daniil Glinka | 79c | 24.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniil Glinka | 72c | 24.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Daniil Glinka | 61c | 22.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c536backed Daniil Glinka | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -17.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…9090backed Daniil Glinka | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed Daniil Glinka | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Daniil Glinka | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Daniil Glinka | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Daniil Glinka | 78c | 15.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Daniil Glinka | 71c | 15.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.