Tennis · resolved market
ITF Louisville: Mees Rottgering vs Timo Legout
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda3dcd6da874db7e567d3d04f8718ea102b1018af7eede6f303f68927f94d491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mees Rottgeringof Mees Rottgering, Timo Legout
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Mees Rottgering | 57c | 3,146$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.72 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mees Rottgering | 57c | 2,340$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Timo Legout | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Timo Legout | 45c | 1,473$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.89 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Timo Legout | 30c | 850$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Timo Legout | 8c | 700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Timo Legout | 8c | 620$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Timo Legout | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Timo Legout | 38c | 296.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Timo Legout | 48c | 286.12$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Timo Legout | 47c | 270.45$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Timo Legout | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Timo Legout | 46c | 208.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Mees Rottgering | 52c | 168.27$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mees Rottgering | 50c | 132.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Timo Legout | 41c | 131.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Timo Legout | 40c | 127.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Timo Legout | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Timo Legout | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1207…9795backed Timo Legout | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Mees Rottgering | 52c | 102.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mees Rottgering | 47c | 98.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mees Rottgering | 56c | 96.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Timo Legout | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Mees Rottgering | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Timo Legout | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Timo Legout | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Timo Legout | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Timo Legout | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Timo Legout | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Timo Legout | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Timo Legout | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Timo Legout | 46c | 65.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Timo Legout | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Mees Rottgering | 69c | 48.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Timo Legout | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Timo Legout | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Timo Legout | 45c | 32.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Mees Rottgering | 57c | 29.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Mees Rottgering | 51c | 27.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Timo Legout | 53c | 21.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Mees Rottgering | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mees Rottgering | 63c | 20.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Louisville: Mees Rottgering vs Timo Legoutthis page
- ITF Men Louisville: Completed Match: Mees Rottgering vs Timo LegoutNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.