Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda4c5d4d97ba5b9770a1baf3a3155445c860630bc12aa389b80bed4d0141641b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Bearcatsof Utah Utes, Cincinnati Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,929 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Utah Utes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Utah Utes | 11c | 4,367$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah Utes | 14c | 3,824$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.28 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Utah Utes | 4c | 3,340$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Utah Utes | 13c | 2,798$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.7 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah Utes | 29c | 1,496$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.88 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Utah Utes | 3c | 1,085$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Utah Utes | 29c | 974.92$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.73 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff61…e560backed Utah Utes | 28c | 842.05$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Utah Utes | 13c | 766.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Utah Utes | 13c | 749.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Utah Utes | 14c | 715.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 77c | 661.74$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Utah Utes | 17c | 616.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Utah Utes | 16c | 574.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…7a5bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 72c | 572.92$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.42 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Utah Utes | 13c | 528.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Utah Utes | 17c | 527.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Utah Utes | 29c | 519.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.55 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah Utes | 31c | 376.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Utah Utes | 17c | 355.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Utah Utes | 28c | 354.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Utah Utes | 14c | 337.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Utah Utes | 15c | 299.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Utah Utes | 14c | 298.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 78c | 278.25$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 77c | 206.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Utah Utes | 8c | 205.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Utah Utes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Utah Utes | 15c | 199.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Utah Utes | 6c | 187.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Utah Utes | 11c | 173.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Utah Utes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Utah Utes | 20c | 149.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Utah Utes | 13c | 132.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Utah Utes | 15c | 131.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Utah Utes | 14c | 121.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 78c | 121.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Utah Utes | 16c | 116.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 79c | 108.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Utah Utes | 28c | 107.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Utah Utes | 13c | 99.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Utah Utes | 14c | 99.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 74c | 87.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Utah Utes | 22c | 74.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Utah Utes | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…6287backed Utah Utes | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah Utes | 21c | 63.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Utah Utes | 22c | 56.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 73c | 52.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Utah Utes | 25c | 45.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…8cf9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 80c | 31.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 74c | 25.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsthis page
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-11.5)Utah Utes won
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-12.5)Utah Utes won
- Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 137.5Over won
- Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.