South American Leagues · resolved market
São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda526b69aa9d172e500501ac22d0ab2bc4ad7f1062c746bbbd68547fe3755e7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 38c | 639.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 51c | 399.66$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 55c | 358.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.81 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 79c | 280.93$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 21c | 256.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 47c | 212.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…64febacked No | 43c | 202.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 171.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 130.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 108.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 102.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…84c1backed Yes | 63c | 99.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Yes | 51c | 79.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed No | 48c | 58.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 54.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…17eabacked Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 36.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 79c | 31.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…345bbacked No | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)São Paulo FC won
- São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.