Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda604f43ef0c896daac52f60f7a16f1fd6abe6233ccac5e70fc03658d652d59d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTXof GIANTX, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5286…0d47backed GIANTX | 41c | 20,478$8,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,040.05 | 281 | 37.4%105 W · 176 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…0bd2backed Team Heretics | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Heretics | 57c | 1,875$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.79 | 598 | 54.2%324 W · 274 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Heretics | 59c | 1,639$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.11 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed GIANTX | 43c | 1,069$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…8f17backed GIANTX | 43c | 890$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Team Heretics | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 355 | 46.8%166 W · 189 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Heretics | 58c | 748.9$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.36 | 962 | 54.3%522 W · 440 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Heretics | 57c | 684.11$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.53 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 590.31$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.38 | 655 | 44.1%289 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Team Heretics | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Team Heretics | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Heretics | 57c | 373.75$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Team Heretics | 57c | 347.78$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…5739backed Team Heretics | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Heretics | 59c | 326.75$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked GIANTX | 44c | 263.63$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 963 | 47.7%459 W · 504 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed GIANTX | 41c | 244.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.23 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Team Heretics | 60c | 239.73$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.84 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed GIANTX | 40c | 225.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.94 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked GIANTX | 40c | 205.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.53 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked GIANTX | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 168.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Team Heretics | 61c | 163.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 42.6%133 W · 179 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Team Heretics | 58c | 128.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 371 | 51.2%190 W · 181 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed GIANTX | 41c | 122.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked GIANTX | 41c | 121$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…e825backed Team Heretics | 58c | 120.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…502ebacked Team Heretics | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed GIANTX | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 519 | 52.4%272 W · 247 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed GIANTX | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 248 | 48.4%120 W · 128 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed GIANTX | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked GIANTX | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Heretics | 41c | 95.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked GIANTX | 62c | 91.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Team Heretics | 58c | 88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked GIANTX | 42c | 86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 560 | 34.8%195 W · 365 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…a448backed Team Heretics | 58c | 85.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed GIANTX | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 261 | 49%128 W · 133 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a635backed GIANTX | 59c | 74.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed GIANTX | 45c | 60.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…747fbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Team Heretics | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fe…311abacked GIANTX | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed GIANTX | 40c | 48.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed GIANTX | 51c | 47.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Team Heretics | 61c | 44.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 389 | 50.9%198 W · 191 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,012 | 47%476 W · 536 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 376 | 43.1%162 W · 214 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed GIANTX | 53c | 34.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 213 | 54.9%117 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 33.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Heretics | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Team Heretics | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked GIANTX | 38c | 28.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked GIANTX | 63c | 17.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.