Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdae2bdfdc32d3154dc8bc6d9a3485a660d21067d6f3935da00bedf898076f01d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guido Justoof Guido Justo, Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 1c | 3,640$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Guido Justo | 59c | 1,828$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.47 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 15c | 1,343$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guido Justo | 75c | 1,202$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.61 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 23c | 910.12$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Guido Justo | 62c | 863.4$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.18 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 41c | 633.7$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.75 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 43c | 582.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 37c | 478.05$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Guido Justo | 70c | 370.06$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 42c | 361.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Guido Justo | 57c | 322.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.77 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 14c | 269.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 20c | 258$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 44c | 249.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 43c | 245$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Guido Justo | 57c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 41c | 195.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 39c | 186.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Guido Justo | 59c | 169.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 23c | 145.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Guido Justo | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Guido Justo | 78c | 115.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Guido Justo | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Guido Justo | 63c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 42c | 90.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 42c | 90.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 41c | 82.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 27c | 78.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 41c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…7c5dbacked Guido Justo | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 27c | 61.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Guido Justo | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Guido Justo | 73c | 51.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4224…31fbbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 38.9%86 W · 135 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Guido Justo | 62c | 47.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 39c | 43.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 46c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Guido Justo | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…ec24backed Guido Justo | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…c37cbacked Guido Justo | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guido Justo | 64c | 30.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Guido Justo | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Guido Justo | 69c | 27.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Guido Justo | 64c | 20.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Guido Justo | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Guido Justo | 58c | 18.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.