Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc1c14cdcf237b487577b20a7a9b7880eed6ece1a8cce7cf7aaf951af0d8c23f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orbit Anonymoof Orbit Anonymo, Lodis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Orbit Anonymo | 51c | 5,948$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.32 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Lodis | 50c | 4,444$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lodis | 70c | 1,190$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.85 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Lodis | 54c | 595.88$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.78 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 72c | 348.42$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Orbit Anonymo | 64c | 206.7$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Orbit Anonymo | 43c | 169.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…1ebfbacked Lodis | 64c | 146.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Orbit Anonymo | 43c | 108$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lodis | 14c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lodis | 25c | 95.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Orbit Anonymo | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 83.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Orbit Anonymo | 50c | 82.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Lodis | 36c | 71.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Orbit Anonymo | 43c | 61.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…bb3bbacked Lodis | 44c | 57.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Lodis | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…9b4ebacked Orbit Anonymo | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…4fcbbacked Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Orbit Anonymo | 63c | 47.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Orbit Anonymo | 41c | 40.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lodis | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Lodis | 46c | 31.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed Orbit Anonymo | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Lodis | 56c | 28.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Orbit Anonymo | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed Orbit Anonymo | 51c | 24.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 202 | 69.3%140 W · 62 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Orbit Anonymo | 56c | 18.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonOrbit Anonymo won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis - Game 1 WinnerOrbit Anonymo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.