Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1161bbe3fbff24cbd4773b6483fbe2f267ba3b4938a19cbb36b5f0e8c7f497e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orbit Anonymoof Orbit Anonymo, Lodis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Lodis | 53c | 7,453$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950.28 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Orbit Anonymo | 43c | 4,451$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.15 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Orbit Anonymo | 49c | 2,249$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.23 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Orbit Anonymo | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Lodis | 54c | 1,267$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.03 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Orbit Anonymo | 44c | 1,049$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.32 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Lodis | 55c | 697.48$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.61 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 47c | 452.08$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 44c | 323.62$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.23 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Lodis | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Lodis | 56c | 284.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Lodis | 48c | 273.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Lodis | 41c | 266.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lodis | 32c | 259.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Lodis | 50c | 256.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Orbit Anonymo | 43c | 232.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Lodis | 42c | 230.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Orbit Anonymo | 43c | 222$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Orbit Anonymo | 45c | 214.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Orbit Anonymo | 45c | 212$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed Lodis | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Lodis | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Orbit Anonymo | 50c | 197.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Orbit Anonymo | 45c | 193.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Lodis | 56c | 193$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Orbit Anonymo | 44c | 192.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lodis | 12c | 178$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lodis | 54c | 168.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Lodis | 61c | 165.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Orbit Anonymo | 44c | 159.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lodis | 11c | 155.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…db5dbacked Orbit Anonymo | 68c | 147.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 43c | 139.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Lodis | 53c | 125.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…1ebfbacked Orbit Anonymo | 67c | 112.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…5df5backed Orbit Anonymo | 45c | 110.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Lodis | 17c | 98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Lodis | 48c | 94.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 94.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Lodis | 49c | 92.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Lodis | 54c | 89.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 83.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Orbit Anonymo | 58c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Orbit Anonymo | 48c | 66.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…bb3bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Lodis | 56c | 50.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Orbit Anonymo | 47c | 50.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Lodis | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Orbit Anonymo | 47c | 43.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Orbit Anonymo | 31c | 43.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Lodis | 56c | 43.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Lodis | 49c | 41.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Lodis | 47c | 37.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…4854backed Orbit Anonymo | 60c | 37.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed Orbit Anonymo | 55c | 34.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 202 | 69.3%140 W · 62 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Orbit Anonymo | 43c | 29.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Lodis | 56c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Lodis | 49c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Orbit Anonymo | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed Orbit Anonymo | 47c | 22.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonOrbit Anonymo won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis - Game 2 WinnerOrbit Anonymo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.