Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Kwon (-1.5) vs Winter (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc418d83b65a9408d66e54dba1087290265fefd4956ee3e6094722dfc4bc0e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kwonof Kwon, Winter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Winter | 41c | 5,103$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.21 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Kwon | 60c | 2,669$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.19 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kwon | 59c | 2,268$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.68 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Winter | 40c | 2,169$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.54 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kwon | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Kwon | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Winter | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Kwon | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Kwon | 59c | 241.63$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Kwon | 59c | 134.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Winter | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Kwon | 59c | 96.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Kwon | 57c | 93.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Kwon | 59c | 82.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 308 | 60.1%185 W · 123 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1175…27a9backed Winter | 43c | 68.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Winter | 43c | 56.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Kwon | 58c | 52.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Kwon | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Winter | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Winter | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…5bdbbacked Kwon | 59c | 41.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…2ce1backed Kwon | 60c | 41.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Kwon | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Kwon | 59c | 23.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kwon | 56c | 22.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Kwon (-1.5) vs Winter (+1.5)this page
- Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Edward WinterSoon-Woo Kwon won
- Set 1 Winner: Kwon vs WinterKwon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.