Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc79479daba4fdd65392b9774540ea962f57c26e39cc9dca90795754cca6c8d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b8f…1b4fbacked No | 1c | 25,640$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 67 | 1.5%1 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 2c | 8,079$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…2ff6backed No | 2c | 1,471$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 17c | 1,203$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 690.83$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.77 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 73c | 666.21$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.51 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 11c | 640.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.53 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 4c | 548.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…3bf8backed No | 2c | 532.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 48c | 500.45$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 10c | 489.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.87 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 35c | 459.41$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.89 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed No | 10c | 395.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 28c | 352.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 74c | 349.8$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 14c | 324$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.47 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 273.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 268$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.58 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 21c | 264.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Yes | 29c | 259.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 8c | 257.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 256.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 66c | 256.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.21 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 15c | 247.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.09 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 15c | 246.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 34c | 234.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 10c | 230.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 10c | 214.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 76c | 212$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.03 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 10c | 208.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 11c | 199.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.89 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…9c56backed No | 14c | 199.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 14c | 196$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed Yes | 13c | 188.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 15c | 183.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.86 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e8b7backed No | 13c | 170.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…25febacked Yes | 14c | 164.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 17c | 159.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Yes | 19c | 158.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 59c | 151.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked No | 70c | 148.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a8…be9bbacked No | 16c | 145.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9198…f83ebacked Yes | 67c | 145.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…7b05backed No | 9c | 140.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 128.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 24c | 128.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 40c | 126.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked Yes | 32c | 124.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 27c | 119.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 73c | 112.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…eb3dbacked Yes | 80c | 111.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 33c | 104.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 13c | 102.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…9d0dbacked Yes | 23c | 101.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 16c | 100.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…7c31backed No | 13c | 89.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 15c | 88.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 16c | 86.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 14c | 86.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 28c | 85.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…2cbdbacked No | 36c | 84.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…92e0backed No | 17c | 84.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…9e9ebacked No | 80c | 78.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 39 | 87.2%34 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 78c | 76.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 29c | 76.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…88e2backed Yes | 57c | 67.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…d28fbacked No | 73c | 67.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…75abbacked No | 39c | 62.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 64c | 53.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…139ebacked No | 32c | 51.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed Yes | 30c | 38.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa29…ec42backed No | 73c | 34.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 65c | 33.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ce…d2bebacked No | 68c | 29.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…e81ebacked Yes | 38c | 26.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 152 | 75.7%115 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed No | 74c | 26.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd50…c0a8backed No | 69c | 26.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…9867backed Yes | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…8158backed No | 63c | 25.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c507backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 51c | 25.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ff…1acdbacked No | 73c | 21.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd8…1e4abacked No | 76c | 21.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…8952backed No | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…ba43backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…68bbbacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…cc90backed No | 77c | 18.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 67c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…998abacked Yes | 68c | 15.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7149…e7efbacked No | 77c | 13.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.