Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdce8ff92cd6198be3c44ca9cc4f16f4093ff6c176b0cce6a46e721c1785c1324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 8c | 3,290$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.14 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 57c | 842.38$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.29 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 55c | 672.63$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.68 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 619.73$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.7 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 589.66$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.03 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 523.63$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 8c | 498$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 56c | 455.33$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 43c | 385.41$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 350.75$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 300.18$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 45c | 281.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 230.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 55c | 176$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 168.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 70c | 167.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 44c | 154.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 56c | 153$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 44c | 143.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 45c | 132.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986e…839ebacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 123.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 122.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 47c | 119$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 29c | 105.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 52c | 94.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 56c | 82.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 44c | 76.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 54c | 70.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 57c | 52.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 32.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…f5b9backed No | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Yes | 57c | 28.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 43c | 26.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbf…27bbbacked No | 44c | 24.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbe…ced7backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.