Champions League · resolved market
Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdceebd76433d2c517911985379c31b722ec16f3a350449d782a886c401a7513a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,713$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.83 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 21c | 1,317$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 1,152$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.72 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 80c | 750.46$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 3c | 544$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 493.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…bd90backed Over | 67c | 397.5$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 72c | 267.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 55c | 160.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 157.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 132.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 50c | 102.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 70c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 73.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 54c | 72.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…6e54backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 67.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 48.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 51c | 47.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Under | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…78bbbacked Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 73c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd948…f231backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-1.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)Floriana FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.