Champions League · resolved market
Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfe208d453d20c9f6a45f5ce019aef5ba7ec9f132b961306ec5c2a47c9400737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 3,132$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.56 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 3,130$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.86 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 20c | 1,623$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.41 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 724$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.88 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 63c | 509.32$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 79c | 405.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 35c | 250$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Under | 56c | 179.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…1999backed Over | 9c | 148.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 71c | 145.28$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 142.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 45c | 142.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 55c | 138.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 132.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 75c | 112.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…f3fabacked Over | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 56c | 99.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 45c | 57.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 46c | 57.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 52.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 50.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 76c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 56c | 32.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 35c | 31.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 80c | 24.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 19.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 18.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-1.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)Floriana FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.