Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd90a6d45f3eb21a6e4d5e269a03cd937989c0967869193c40500f26773f54ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paoliniof Gauff, Paolini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Paolini | 47c | 12,653$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.91 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Paolini | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Gauff | 65c | 9,708$6,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,310.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Paolini | 33c | 7,000$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,669.96 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Gauff | 67c | 5,163$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.81 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Gauff | 64c | 3,263$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.37 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Gauff | 65c | 1,610$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Gauff | 57c | 1,489$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.86 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Gauff | 56c | 1,338$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Gauff | 60c | 1,200$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.88 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Paolini | 39c | 1,139$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.65 | 961 | 35.4%340 W · 621 L | -40.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Gauff | 39c | 1,006$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.58 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…a89ebacked Gauff | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Paolini | 35c | 660.89$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…7c5abacked Paolini | 48c | 630.1$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…26ecbacked Paolini | 36c | 610$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Gauff | 67c | 597.87$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.57 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Paolini | 46c | 357.46$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.03 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Paolini | 63c | 340$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Gauff | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Paolini | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Paolini | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Paolini | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Paolini | 50c | 198.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gauff | 59c | 184.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…6ce4backed Gauff | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Gauff | 68c | 140.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…d655backed Paolini | 34c | 130$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2c…b2c6backed Gauff | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…d1a5backed Paolini | 34c | 115$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…e56bbacked Paolini | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe6…eb8abacked Paolini | 34c | 105$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe30…0e3bbacked Gauff | 66c | 105$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Gauff | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…2aeebacked Paolini | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Paolini | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 654 | 39.9%261 W · 393 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Gauff | 63c | 99.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Gauff | 64c | 93.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…698bbacked Paolini | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…d7debacked Paolini | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Paolini | 34c | 79.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…4e27backed Paolini | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…834fbacked Gauff | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…c1debacked Paolini | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…8bb9backed Paolini | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Gauff | 65c | 56.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Paolini | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9168…4c2cbacked Paolini | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…2dfebacked Gauff | 66c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Gauff | 62c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…9c41backed Gauff | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…c295backed Gauff | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Gauff | 65c | 49.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…526abacked Gauff | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…484bbacked Gauff | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…1226backed Gauff | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…49ffbacked Gauff | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…15c4backed Gauff | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…7bd5backed Paolini | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1c30backed Gauff | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…bd38backed Gauff | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8332…7c18backed Paolini | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…89eabacked Gauff | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…72d4backed Gauff | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…2e58backed Gauff | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…ca7ebacked Gauff | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…ea64backed Gauff | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d03ebacked Gauff | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…4e21backed Gauff | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…b3f3backed Gauff | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.