Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ollersbach: Fares Zakaria vs David Bakonyi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde19280b80c138dc958aa7164bea61094e1ee9641adce20a097a16a98c5ce6a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fares Zakariaof Fares Zakaria, David Bakonyi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked David Bakonyi | 44c | 2,317$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.21 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fares Zakaria | 80c | 2,058$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.61 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked David Bakonyi | 38c | 1,737$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.94 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fares Zakaria | 57c | 1,351$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.07 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed David Bakonyi | 34c | 1,178$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.48 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked David Bakonyi | 37c | 1,002$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.74 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fares Zakaria | 66c | 906.65$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.26 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Fares Zakaria | 75c | 714.22$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.65 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed David Bakonyi | 36c | 563.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…6312backed Fares Zakaria | 69c | 533.12$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed David Bakonyi | 39c | 429.65$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.06 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fares Zakaria | 77c | 328.05$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed David Bakonyi | 40c | 286.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked David Bakonyi | 37c | 218.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Fares Zakaria | 58c | 214.64$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed David Bakonyi | 7c | 213.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed David Bakonyi | 26c | 211.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fares Zakaria | 66c | 180.63$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked David Bakonyi | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked David Bakonyi | 38c | 134.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked David Bakonyi | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked David Bakonyi | 49c | 102.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed David Bakonyi | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked David Bakonyi | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fares Zakaria | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed David Bakonyi | 38c | 79.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed David Bakonyi | 36c | 73.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Fares Zakaria | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Fares Zakaria | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Fares Zakaria | 64c | 64.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Fares Zakaria | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fares Zakaria | 76c | 51.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked David Bakonyi | 35c | 50.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fares Zakaria | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed David Bakonyi | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed David Bakonyi | 36c | 43.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed David Bakonyi | 36c | 43.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fares Zakaria | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fares Zakaria | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fares Zakaria | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked David Bakonyi | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…ae38backed David Bakonyi | 38c | 30.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fares Zakaria | 71c | 29.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…78c9backed Fares Zakaria | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Fares Zakaria | 68c | 20.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Fares Zakaria | 75c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.