Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde59f4ca03186a7b69837732ac013d2bfd2d73964cb606cc3dcf23856cc7d8df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78bf…7300backed No | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,542$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.39 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…69cabacked Yes | 49c | 1,266$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 54c | 1,128$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.72 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 453.95$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 213.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 60c | 207.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 56c | 189.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 59c | 170.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 56c | 158.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 60c | 139$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 121.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 56c | 83.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 82.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Yes | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 61c | 58.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 54.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 55c | 46.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…61fabacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 36c | 36.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 62c | 36.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 55c | 32.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 57c | 31.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 41c | 26.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Yes | 59c | 26.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 39cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 43c | 26.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 59c | 19.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.