Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdecc716710f152f31a4480629e8d7c56f6b787cc1949a1f0a7a8fc097d4987c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Dellienof Matej Dodig, Hugo Dellien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matej Dodig | 9c | 3,060$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Matej Dodig | 26c | 1,711$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Matej Dodig | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hugo Dellien | 75c | 803.16$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Matej Dodig | 5c | 722.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Matej Dodig | 8c | 658.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Matej Dodig | 19c | 567.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Matej Dodig | 26c | 526.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Matej Dodig | 28c | 443.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Matej Dodig | 25c | 279.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matej Dodig | 10c | 265$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Matej Dodig | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Matej Dodig | 9c | 213.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Hugo Dellien | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Matej Dodig | 11c | 182.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Hugo Dellien | 76c | 164.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Hugo Dellien | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a67…f416backed Matej Dodig | 12c | 121.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Hugo Dellien | 70c | 107.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Hugo Dellien | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Hugo Dellien | 70c | 97.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Hugo Dellien | 77c | 81.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Hugo Dellien | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Hugo Dellien | 74c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Hugo Dellien | 72c | 41.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Hugo Dellien | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellienthis page
- Set Handicap: Dellien (-1.5) vs Dodig (+1.5)Dellien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.