Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef7cc63477f6a808af2132f2d1f35edaeea479129afea95ce63c560e1d15c04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Zero Tenacity, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 13,200$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.11 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 64c | 9,861$6,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.88 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX | 60c | 3,602$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.72 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 79c | 2,514$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.36 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 1,652$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.85 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 1,571$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.28 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 1,039$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.54 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed REKONIX | 62c | 963.45$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.36 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked REKONIX | 61c | 850$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 847.79$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.38 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity | 7c | 761.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 744.66$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.29 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed REKONIX | 63c | 690.83$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.61 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Zero Tenacity | 4c | 554.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed REKONIX | 66c | 538.86$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX | 61c | 496.77$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 460.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 442.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 410$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 407$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 65c | 325.47$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked REKONIX | 64c | 310.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zero Tenacity | 16c | 307$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 285$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked REKONIX | 76c | 276.9$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked REKONIX | 75c | 246.88$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 14c | 240.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed REKONIX | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 65c | 191.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zero Tenacity | 21c | 190.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Zero Tenacity | 12c | 189.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 179.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Zero Tenacity | 37c | 162.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed REKONIX | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed REKONIX | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Zero Tenacity | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 126.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked REKONIX | 80c | 116.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…70b9backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 88.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…d6f5backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 83.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked REKONIX | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 68c | 61.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked REKONIX | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed REKONIX | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed REKONIX | 68c | 45.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…2f5cbacked REKONIX | 68c | 44.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed REKONIX | 76c | 32.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked REKONIX | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed REKONIX | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 64c | 29.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked REKONIX | 65c | 26.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed REKONIX | 66c | 24.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.