Tennis · resolved market
New Delhi: Federico Cina vs Sumit Nagal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfa08c2204eea4f837cdf6cf8631c57c60919a5d9fd030baf8d2c712848c8553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cinaof Cina, Nagal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nagal | 3c | 11,329$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Nagal | 34c | 8,878$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.39 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cina | 73c | 6,458$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.74 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cina | 75c | 2,494$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Nagal | 31c | 1,135$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.84 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Nagal | 47c | 1,072$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked Cina | 29c | 560.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.40per pick | 29cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Nagal | 28c | 508$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Cina | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Nagal | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cina | 53c | 495$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Nagal | 22c | 453$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Cina | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Cina | 31c | 400$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.58per pick | 28cpaid | +215%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Cina | 77c | 375$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Nagal | 19c | 360.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Cina | 75c | 350.71$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nagal | 15c | 304.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Nagal | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nagal | 32c | 238.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Nagal | 45c | 222.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nagal | 44c | 204.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Cina | 34c | 192.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Cina | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Cina | 57c | 179.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cina | 76c | 172.14$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cina | 78c | 172.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Cina | 57c | 165.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Cina | 57c | 135.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cina | 72c | 127.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Cina | 71c | 125.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Nagal | 24c | 121.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cina | 74c | 120.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Nagal | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ae11backed Cina | 80c | 106.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Nagal | 48c | 104.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Cina | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…24c0backed Nagal | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cina | 54c | 86.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Cina | 56c | 80.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Cina | 55c | 78.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Cina | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Cina | 75c | 69.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cina | 72c | 66.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nagal | 25c | 61.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Nagal | 26c | 56.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Cina | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Cina | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…8681backed Cina | 74c | 52.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Cina | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Cina | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 26cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed Cina | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nagal | 42c | 49.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nagal | 26c | 44.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Cina | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Cina | 75c | 40.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Nagal | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nagal | 44c | 37.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Cina | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Cina | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Cina | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Cina | 71c | 34.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Cina | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d7…3307backed Cina | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Cina | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…659fbacked Cina | 77c | 18.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…d5afbacked Cina | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…68b7backed Cina | 70c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Cina | 78c | 14.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Delhi: Federico Cina vs Sumit Nagalthis page
- Cina vs. Nagal: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cina vs NagalCina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.