Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia State Panthers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfa18a0243b497719726633d4a52d446f0648386d47e1082a86c244949c859d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marshall Thundering Herdof Georgia State Panthers, Marshall Thundering Herd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Georgia State Panthers | 33c | 32,347$10,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,635.64 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 65c | 17,356$11,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 58c | 6,303$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.05 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Georgia State Panthers | 42c | 4,692$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.75 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 4,634$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.44 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 76c | 4,245$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.49 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 68c | 3,223$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.93 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 3,093$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.9 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Georgia State Panthers | 14c | 2,267$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Georgia State Panthers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 72c | 658.89$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 80c | 638.42$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 74c | 626$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 578.37$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 77c | 506.77$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia State Panthers | 32c | 491.3$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia State Panthers | 35c | 374.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 80c | 334.26$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7a…830abacked Georgia State Panthers | 20c | 303.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 76c | 231.41$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 64c | 209.83$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 63c | 208$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…e185backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 70c | 125.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 10c | 118$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 116.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Georgia State Panthers | 22c | 114.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Georgia State Panthers | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 25.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 19.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 69c | 15.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Marshall Thundering Herdthis page
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 153.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.