Mls · resolved market
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd1de2ad4d8f7c5a3ef956d5323a831e7f7f5626362c4cb7894735431a18451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 28c | 8,147$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.15 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 3,850$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.94 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 3,777$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.38 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 2,764$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.14 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 1,810$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.45 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 13c | 1,798$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.58 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,154$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.12 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 748$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.2 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 666.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 72c | 508.33$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked No | 73c | 503.56$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 26c | 473.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 71c | 428.92$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked Yes | 3c | 357.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 80c | 330.85$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 72c | 256$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 27c | 240$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 27c | 196.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 153.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 70c | 142.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 139.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed No | 70c | 127.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 124.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 90.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…5865backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 83.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 57.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 27c | 48.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 73c | 35.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed Yes | 29c | 35.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 73c | 26.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 70c | 25.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 72c | 25.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 25.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 71c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.