Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x358a96c91dc41530a9cfed1a1220103026055a35845836afcfcb8f12e2550808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 1,543$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.43 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 1,290$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.28 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 77c | 1,271$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 1,030$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.7 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 77c | 815$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.45 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 23c | 723$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 483.12$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 26c | 480.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 75c | 441.4$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 21c | 413$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 246.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 231.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 6c | 199.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 10c | 197.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 11c | 155.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 10c | 145$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 21c | 133.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…5865backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 26c | 84.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 23c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 24c | 61.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 19c | 60.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…ddd4backed Yes | 27c | 59.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 47.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 41.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 34.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-07-25?No won
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.