Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Kentucky Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe02fa68e594aba54baba837d19a9644c4e0ce4971ae9653ef1fe3eee682add2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentucky Wildcatsof Mississippi State Bulldogs, Kentucky Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 78c | 2,687$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 16c | 2,534$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.16 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 2c | 1,280$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 16c | 956.25$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 14c | 851.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 33c | 722.33$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.54 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 668.3$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…3c6dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 16c | 624.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 35c | 589.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.13 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 493$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Kentucky Wildcats | 60c | 372$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Kentucky Wildcats | 61c | 315.56$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kentucky Wildcats | 68c | 286.05$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 78c | 269.07$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 16c | 222.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…2e5fbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 30c | 187.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kentucky Wildcats | 62c | 182.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 171.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 69c | 140.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 109.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…31efbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 105.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…2513backed Kentucky Wildcats | 66c | 97.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 17c | 91.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…a69abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 22c | 64.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Kentucky Wildcats | 73c | 63.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 23c | 58.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…592cbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kentucky Wildcats | 70c | 49.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 79c | 41.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecec…d72fbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 68c | 29.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kentucky Wildcats | 77c | 26.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc5…8b18backed Kentucky Wildcats | 75c | 14.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Kentucky Wildcatsthis page
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-10.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.