Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0b3111e4a8774aebbffe76e565c4c637b6f00af5a0e6ebcbfdefa8a655a6067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shnaiderof Shnaider, Potapova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Potapova | 44c | 625.48$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.79 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Potapova | 42c | 519.22$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.43 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shnaider | 48c | 464.3$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.06 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Shnaider | 59c | 447.73$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Shnaider | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Potapova | 15c | 282.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Shnaider | 58c | 272.16$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Potapova | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Shnaider | 58c | 195$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 780 | 52.7%411 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Shnaider | 59c | 186$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Shnaider | 58c | 161$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Potapova | 27c | 121.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Potapova | 14c | 120.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Potapova | 46c | 117.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Potapova | 26c | 116$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Potapova | 40c | 107.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Potapova | 44c | 100.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Potapova | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shnaider | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Shnaider | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Shnaider | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Shnaider | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Shnaider | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Shnaider | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Potapova | 45c | 44.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Potapova | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Potapova | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Potapova | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Potapova | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…32b3backed Shnaider | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Potapova | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Potapova | 52c | 31.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shnaider | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Potapova | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…f897backed Shnaider | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Shnaider | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Potapova | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Potapova | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Shnaider | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Shnaider | 57c | 22.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Shnaider | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.