MLB · resolved market
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0b936f4e6977288f3ccc826a229d373118fb6904172bb11daa917e51f13b970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 13,615$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,577.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 13,296$8,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,376.63 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 2,340$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 1,190$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 1,051$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 1,024$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.12 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 543.03$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.64 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Los Angeles Angels | 20c | 425.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 11c | 312.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 305.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.57 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 262.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 237$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.79 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 226$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 217.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 187.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 175.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 172.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 164.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 161.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 107.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 90.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 89.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Los Angeles Angels | 14c | 81.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 79.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6458…2a3bbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 78.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 63.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 58.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 52.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 44.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 32.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 29.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858c…84b1backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 26.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 23.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 17.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.