TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$342,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$346,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over58c236,066$136,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,029.6646949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under43c123,814$53,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,240.1510157.4%58 W · 43 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over57c80,000$45,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,399.951,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under43c43,353$18,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,443.311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c33,543$14,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,090.8710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under42c25,328$10,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,637.7623538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under42c17,241$7,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,241.3818860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under42c15,018$6,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,307.593138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under42c11,947$5,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,017.798633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c10,648$4,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5256,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under43c4,631$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.7473949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc163…aed8backed Over58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.342454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c3,148$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.0512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c3,072$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.42,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under42c2,279$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.341,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under45c2,199$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.473,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84012939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over57c1,833$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.656,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under42c1,619$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.391,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under41c1,307$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.422,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under42c1,208$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.4440341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under43c1,162$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.471,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under42c899.99$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3818,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Under43c885.03$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.369956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under43c834.45$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2222448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c833$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.861,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over57c804.54$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34832850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over55c688.29$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.274,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3f43backed Under42c645.24$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under43c571$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.821,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c570.45$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.055,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under42c567.55$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.421,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under42c532.4$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2540447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.11,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under43c496.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.691,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under42c476.1$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3456253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under42c465.12$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3587750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Under44c454.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked Over57c454.51$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4413048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under43c431.95$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.395252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over58c390$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.81,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under42c387.42$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.721,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under43c342.3$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9828749.5%142 W · 145 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under43c315.87$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8228154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13744245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over59c236.06$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7820945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over58c216.55$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.032,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under43c210.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4846152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under42c203.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5710143.6%44 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Under53c199.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10614643.2%63 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under46c185.39$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8531052.6%163 W · 147 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc919…d1ddbacked Under42c178.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.886055%33 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over39c174.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.718,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under42c139.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0273355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Under44c137.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over46c132.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.083,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c125.15$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.073,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over42c122.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.115,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47761%47 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under43c116.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0153655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x298f…b4e1backed Under42c116.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.391844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under42c116.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7529141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under43c106.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.381,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Under42c106$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0435149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bed…c30bbacked Over36c100.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.478153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under45c90.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7129250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under14c84.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.828,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under42c83.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.021,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515841.8%66 W · 92 L-12.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb244…5ecebacked Under49c82.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under42c78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7642451.9%220 W · 204 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Over58c77.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4424149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…f20ebacked Over59c75.31$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.881376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+47.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under42c75.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5544553.5%238 W · 207 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under43c73.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.526642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under43c72.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1746255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Under42c61.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.841236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under42c60.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5527345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over57c59.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under42c58.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4916539.4%65 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under42c53.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.621,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Under45c53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8314047.9%67 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under27c47.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.911,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Under42c47.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Over58c46.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.655250%26 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a1…296fbacked Under42c46.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.542548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over51c43.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3434255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…2d8dbacked Under42c43.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.341338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under43c42.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1510452.9%55 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under42c41.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4734846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53f…edc4backed Under42c41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.421643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ff…7b20backed Under48c40.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.522138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb96…ea06backed Under42c40.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.811625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under42c38.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2428553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Under43c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.217243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.