Tennis · resolved market
Heilbronn: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alex Barrena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0c8e3c945f25263c5934d9b7635878b765093641316005be4a6c954481f63a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Lucas Da Silvaof Joao Lucas Da Silva, Alex Barrena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Barrena | 4c | 3,591$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex Barrena | 14c | 1,359$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 80c | 1,253$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Barrena | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Barrena | 42c | 997.32$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.87 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Alex Barrena | 46c | 872.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 847.75$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.45 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Alex Barrena | 43c | 779.16$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.16 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Barrena | 28c | 771.89$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 650$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 574.27$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.76 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 52c | 520.61$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alex Barrena | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Alex Barrena | 12c | 475.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Alex Barrena | 44c | 444.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 59c | 371.79$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.43 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Barrena | 43c | 364.88$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 308$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Alex Barrena | 43c | 274.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alex Barrena | 30c | 245.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 211$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 75c | 209$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Barrena | 43c | 208.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 200.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 62c | 187.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 63c | 174.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…203ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 25c | 173.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 152$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Alex Barrena | 27c | 146.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…542dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 69c | 141.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 73c | 141.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Alex Barrena | 25c | 128$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alex Barrena | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Alex Barrena | 13c | 115.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Alex Barrena | 55c | 103.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Alex Barrena | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Alex Barrena | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Barrena | 45c | 98.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alex Barrena | 29c | 91.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…a3f9backed Alex Barrena | 52c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 85.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alex Barrena | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alex Barrena | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 55c | 71.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Alex Barrena | 53c | 66.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Alex Barrena | 43c | 57.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Barrena | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Alex Barrena | 51c | 50.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Alex Barrena | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 73c | 28.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 73c | 27.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 25.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Alex Barrena | 73c | 24.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 61c | 24.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 74c | 22.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.