CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0ea77af93e07a5e416f37c686048ecd6020188f75c7f7010353dc4bb8b03949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Over | 45c | 7,573$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419 | 251 | 39.4%99 W · 152 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 4,142$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.62 | 1,756 | 47.3%830 W · 926 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 2,361$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.93 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 54c | 2,165$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.68 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 827 | 44.4%367 W · 460 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 1,882$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.43 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.9 | 371 | 40.2%149 W · 222 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 496.09$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.96 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 275.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 24c | 249.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 44c | 175$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 40c | 151.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 56c | 133.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 63c | 118.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 422 | 41.9%177 W · 245 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 39c | 101.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 62c | 99.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 64c | 83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 32c | 82.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 49c | 72.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 71c | 66.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1,406 | 66.4%933 W · 473 L | +77.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 61c | 65.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 39c | 53.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 728 | 60.2%438 W · 290 L | +72.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…4040backed Under | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed Over | 35c | 42.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 31c | 37.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,346 | 44.1%594 W · 752 L | +45.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 35c | 31.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,685 | 32.7%551 W · 1,134 L | -48.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 398 | 22.6%90 W · 308 L | -43.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Over | 45c | 25.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 50c | 22.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 370 | 41.9%155 W · 215 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ec…73b6backed Under | 58c | 22.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.