Tennis · resolved market
ITF Metzingen: Vincent Dullinger vs Raphael Perot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe13f5e987ef025c7430750e2049d7cb2f58675452970c381d34458358ff46dc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raphael Perotof Vincent Dullinger, Raphael Perot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Raphael Perot | 73c | 2,477$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.95 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raphael Perot | 51c | 2,452$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Vincent Dullinger | 48c | 2,105$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.35 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Vincent Dullinger | 67c | 1,734$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Vincent Dullinger | 67c | 1,631$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.1 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Raphael Perot | 48c | 807.42$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.86 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Vincent Dullinger | 67c | 413.79$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.92 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Vincent Dullinger | 77c | 404.65$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.58 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Vincent Dullinger | 67c | 373.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Vincent Dullinger | 15c | 263.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Vincent Dullinger | 21c | 252.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Vincent Dullinger | 21c | 242.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Raphael Perot | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vincent Dullinger | 46c | 220.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Vincent Dullinger | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Raphael Perot | 75c | 159$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vincent Dullinger | 56c | 143.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…4d59backed Vincent Dullinger | 68c | 131.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Raphael Perot | 75c | 117.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Raphael Perot | 35c | 112.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Raphael Perot | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Raphael Perot | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Raphael Perot | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Vincent Dullinger | 53c | 104.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Vincent Dullinger | 40c | 77.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Vincent Dullinger | 15c | 76.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Vincent Dullinger | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Vincent Dullinger | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Raphael Perot | 53c | 69.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Raphael Perot | 56c | 68.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Raphael Perot | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Raphael Perot | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Raphael Perot | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Raphael Perot | 76c | 44.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Vincent Dullinger | 67c | 36.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Raphael Perot | 40c | 30.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Vincent Dullinger | 67c | 27.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Vincent Dullinger | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Vincent Dullinger | 76c | 21.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Vincent Dullinger | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Raphael Perot | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Raphael Perot | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.