Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe15a05477f5b9f04d93c6bb68f2b94e0412f4304a1006f0889c75b7a91b44c16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN SOOPers Challengersof Nongshim Esports Academy, DN SOOPers Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 36c | 3,929$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.64 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 64c | 3,021$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.4 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 63c | 1,420$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.33 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 37c | 1,276$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 67c | 1,185$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.14 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 1,055$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.31 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 33c | 988.97$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.92 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 32c | 514.2$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.54 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f20…f339backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 35c | 422.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa11…e3c0backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 35c | 357.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 37c | 241.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 143$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 66c | 124.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 35c | 115.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 66c | 91.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 69c | 69.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 33c | 63.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 35.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ed…09debacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 69c | 34.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 70c | 34.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +12.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 64c | 32.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…3893backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 67c | 22.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…9817backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 64c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2DN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.