Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs Nightblood Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe21d462bdbbf02790ff9b55f7f3676087fdeaddc8464aacb1cb30d91697dee1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Nightblood Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed M80 | 65c | 954$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 35c | 954$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked M80 | 68c | 742.64$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.22 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Nightblood Gaming | 35c | 594.68$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 61c | 586.41$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.05 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 31c | 508$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nightblood Gaming | 29c | 353$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 3c | 347.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed M80 | 63c | 289.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nightblood Gaming | 25c | 216.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 14c | 147.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked M80 | 67c | 147.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked M80 | 73c | 143.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked M80 | 75c | 119.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…cdf7backed M80 | 42c | 119.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked M80 | 62c | 107.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 45c | 103.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nightblood Gaming | 37c | 91.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Nightblood Gaming | 39c | 88.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Nightblood Gaming | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nightblood Gaming | 25c | 85.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed M80 | 68c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked M80 | 70c | 78.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed M80 | 68c | 76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nightblood Gaming | 37c | 74.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked M80 | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nightblood Gaming | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Nightblood Gaming | 35c | 56.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Nightblood Gaming | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 29c | 48.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Nightblood Gaming | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nightblood Gaming | 25c | 40.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed M80 | 37c | 38.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Nightblood Gaming | 56c | 35.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked M80 | 51c | 23.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…1a04backed M80 | 65c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs Nightblood Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Nightblood Gaming (+1.5)M80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs Nightblood Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs Nightblood Gaming - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.