Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs Nightblood Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe7af52249d43c6ebd0da54d58aaf4ea22b5b0559d577683d9bf09aaa68a8b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Nightblood Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked M80 | 69c | 1,828$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.8 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed M80 | 66c | 1,510$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nightblood Gaming | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 34c | 1,082$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.11 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nightblood Gaming | 33c | 845.63$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked M80 | 71c | 628.56$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed M80 | 75c | 380$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 42c | 231.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked M80 | 66c | 208.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked M80 | 67c | 193.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 36c | 184.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Nightblood Gaming | 35c | 182.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 33c | 165.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Nightblood Gaming | 34c | 143.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Nightblood Gaming | 26c | 140.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Nightblood Gaming | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed M80 | 65c | 97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Nightblood Gaming | 28c | 74.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…7579backed Nightblood Gaming | 27c | 72.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 24c | 67.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 32c | 66.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked M80 | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Nightblood Gaming | 39c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nightblood Gaming | 28c | 53.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked M80 | 73c | 45.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked M80 | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Nightblood Gaming | 31c | 35.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 63c | 33.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed M80 | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked M80 | 68c | 21.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked M80 | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked M80 | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs Nightblood Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Nightblood Gaming (+1.5)M80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs Nightblood Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs Nightblood Gaming - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.