Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lodz: Jan Chlodnicki vs Alan Bojarski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe23dcb415898f9393e95a25dc1be9ecbcc2801221b03f6da97ca9ce65e3ef910
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Chlodnickiof Jan Chlodnicki, Alan Bojarski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alan Bojarski | 64c | 4,528$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.03 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jan Chlodnicki | 42c | 4,149$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jan Chlodnicki | 29c | 1,450$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.41 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alan Bojarski | 27c | 629.21$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alan Bojarski | 73c | 293.13$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.29 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Alan Bojarski | 70c | 227$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alan Bojarski | 25c | 202.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Jan Chlodnicki | 23c | 157.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Jan Chlodnicki | 30c | 115$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alan Bojarski | 44c | 95.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Alan Bojarski | 64c | 83.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Alan Bojarski | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Jan Chlodnicki | 28c | 58.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Jan Chlodnicki | 28c | 58.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Jan Chlodnicki | 38c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Jan Chlodnicki | 39c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alan Bojarski | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jan Chlodnicki | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Alan Bojarski | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Alan Bojarski | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alan Bojarski | 75c | 21.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…1d20backed Alan Bojarski | 77c | 16.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Alan Bojarski | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…583bbacked Jan Chlodnicki | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.