TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs David Jorda Sanchis

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thiago Monteiroof Thiago Monteiro, David Jorda Sanchis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Thiago Monteiro67c3,234$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.123,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Thiago Monteiro78c2,520$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.4411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed David Jorda Sanchis14c2,356$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.878,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked David Jorda Sanchis32c2,289$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.636,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Thiago Monteiro77c1,938$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.224,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Thiago Monteiro71c1,836$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.994068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Thiago Monteiro77c1,613$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.833551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed David Jorda Sanchis29c1,399$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed David Jorda Sanchis29c1,380$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.558,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed David Jorda Sanchis14c1,266$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.21,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Thiago Monteiro77c1,037$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.885,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed David Jorda Sanchis28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1969,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca06…b26ebacked David Jorda Sanchis15c636.87$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.533414.7%5 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked David Jorda Sanchis7c590.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8140527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked David Jorda Sanchis35c541.51$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.483,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed David Jorda Sanchis22c470.58$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.851,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked David Jorda Sanchis34c450.79$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2729151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed David Jorda Sanchis32c389.01$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.312,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed David Jorda Sanchis33c330.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.077,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Thiago Monteiro80c310.55$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1111372.6%82 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Thiago Monteiro73c260.2$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.952,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed David Jorda Sanchis34c249.21$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7331164.3%200 W · 111 L+36.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed David Jorda Sanchis43c203.53$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5239446.7%184 W · 210 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Thiago Monteiro56c182$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0817136.3%62 W · 109 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Thiago Monteiro56c159.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.415536.8%57 W · 98 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked David Jorda Sanchis24c159.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed David Jorda Sanchis42c152.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.181,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Thiago Monteiro75c133.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.14,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed David Jorda Sanchis19c118.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.524,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked David Jorda Sanchis27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed David Jorda Sanchis28c99.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6643144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed David Jorda Sanchis20c95.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.362,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed David Jorda Sanchis20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Thiago Monteiro75c60.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.241,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed David Jorda Sanchis23c60.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1467838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Thiago Monteiro66c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4123530.2%71 W · 164 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed David Jorda Sanchis42c42.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815651.3%80 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed David Jorda Sanchis43c42.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1976355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Thiago Monteiro67c34.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4533165%215 W · 116 L+22.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Thiago Monteiro67c34.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.324,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Thiago Monteiro64c34.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3518666.7%124 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Thiago Monteiro73c31.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4178957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Thiago Monteiro79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Thiago Monteiro69c29.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2436154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8ef…dddabacked Thiago Monteiro66c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.524852.1%25 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Thiago Monteiro79c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6297852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Thiago Monteiro68c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9628264.2%181 W · 101 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Thiago Monteiro65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.