Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs Faria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe32882957722ecf3e9480d7afabc9c6eb2af1ccead4d337e4d6862f559cf38b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bergsof Bergs, Faria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Bergs | 51c | 4,028$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.74 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Faria | 51c | 1,827$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.73 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Bergs | 60c | 1,564$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.42 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Faria | 48c | 1,298$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.04 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Faria | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Faria | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Faria | 40c | 599.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.86 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Faria | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bergs | 46c | 432.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Faria | 46c | 423$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bergs | 68c | 275$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Faria | 47c | 256$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Faria | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Bergs | 59c | 136.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Bergs | 52c | 123.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Faria | 38c | 85.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…e4c1backed Bergs | 62c | 77.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Bergs | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Faria | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Faria | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Faria | 46c | 47.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…2081backed Faria | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Faria | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…c87dbacked Bergs | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Bergs | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs Fariathis page
- Bergs vs. Faria: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Bergs vs. Faria: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)Bergs won
- Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime FariaZizou Bergs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.