Tennis · resolved market
ITF Huamantla: Carolina Alonso vs Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe35f0dbde06384144dfe6db24952b2ae6cbbd0c9a04bdabfe060006eebc19cdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amanda Carolina Nava Elkinof Carolina Alonso, Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carolina Alonso | 46c | 19,238$8,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,822.29 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 55c | 9,360$5,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 54c | 6,051$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.17 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 37c | 5,415$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.53 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carolina Alonso | 62c | 2,265$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.3 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 36c | 1,393$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.49 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 33c | 1,294$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Carolina Alonso | 27c | 980$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.33 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Carolina Alonso | 30c | 802.94$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Carolina Alonso | 28c | 800$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Carolina Alonso | 24c | 730$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 55c | 619$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Carolina Alonso | 29c | 470$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 37c | 405.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.21 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 54c | 320$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Carolina Alonso | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Carolina Alonso | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Carolina Alonso | 48c | 199.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118a…457ebacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 38c | 180.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carolina Alonso | 62c | 171.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed Carolina Alonso | 25c | 171.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…8e75backed Carolina Alonso | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Carolina Alonso | 15c | 121.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Carolina Alonso | 76c | 119.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 37c | 119$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Carolina Alonso | 76c | 95.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Carolina Alonso | 38c | 89.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Carolina Alonso | 14c | 89.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 57c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 39c | 60.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carolina Alonso | 36c | 55.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carolina Alonso | 37c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 37c | 46.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 53c | 38.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Carolina Alonso | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 48c | 32.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Carolina Alonso | 70c | 31.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 59c | 30.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Carolina Alonso | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Carolina Alonso | 37c | 27.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 52c | 25.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 63c | 20.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…b258backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.