TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bucaramanga: Peter Bertran vs Sergio Luis Hernandez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Peter Bertranof Peter Bertran, Sergio Luis Hernandez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,551 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Sergio Luis Hernandez9c5,309$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.492,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Peter Bertran79c1,390$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.71,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Sergio Luis Hernandez1c1,300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10821.2%1 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Sergio Luis Hernandez16c548.04$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.735054%27 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sergio Luis Hernandez18c509.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.734,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Peter Bertran65c352.03$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.694,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sergio Luis Hernandez18c346.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.313,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Sergio Luis Hernandez24c306$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4458639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Sergio Luis Hernandez24c270.43$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.98446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Sergio Luis Hernandez11c253.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9221720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Peter Bertran76c200.61$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1555660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sergio Luis Hernandez15c181$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.582,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Sergio Luis Hernandez31c173.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.031,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Sergio Luis Hernandez16c152.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Sergio Luis Hernandez20c145.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2536333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Peter Bertran74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1423248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Sergio Luis Hernandez26c132.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8759440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sergio Luis Hernandez66c128$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.484,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Sergio Luis Hernandez22c119$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1854434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sergio Luis Hernandez48c89.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.446,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Peter Bertran41c86.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.474,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Peter Bertran72c84.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.154,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Peter Bertran78c84.43$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.831,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Peter Bertran79c75.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6741668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Sergio Luis Hernandez72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017051.8%88 W · 82 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Sergio Luis Hernandez24c69.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7422337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sergio Luis Hernandez29c60.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.842,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Sergio Luis Hernandez33c60.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015229.6%45 W · 107 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Peter Bertran78c54.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3111352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Peter Bertran74c51.14$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1439872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Peter Bertran79c49.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.666,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Sergio Luis Hernandez25c40.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.063928.2%11 W · 28 L-8.0wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-48.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Peter Bertran61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.772,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sergio Luis Hernandez50c38.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.381,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sergio Luis Hernandez30c36.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0457252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Peter Bertran71c33.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.735559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Peter Bertran43c26.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.353,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Peter Bertran76c26.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2715163.6%96 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Peter Bertran79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3271165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Peter Bertran74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.288740.2%35 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Peter Bertran75c18.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5659954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Peter Bertran67c15.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0631434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.