Tennis · resolved market
ITF Asuncion: Luciana Moyano vs Camila Romero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e1f70013bb3d70a5e98c352d6690973cb44e1cd06dc3bf24db21b25b528345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luciana Moyanoof Luciana Moyano, Camila Romero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ad…83dcbacked Camila Romero | 29c | 6,870$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.09 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Luciana Moyano | 50c | 4,238$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.14 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Camila Romero | 46c | 4,018$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.34 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luciana Moyano | 66c | 1,286$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luciana Moyano | 62c | 1,263$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.74 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Camila Romero | 34c | 1,140$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.94 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Luciana Moyano | 57c | 842.02$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.13 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Luciana Moyano | 68c | 735.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Luciana Moyano | 71c | 732.54$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.56 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Luciana Moyano | 65c | 727.43$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.49 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Camila Romero | 35c | 724.57$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.94 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Luciana Moyano | 70c | 655.96$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Luciana Moyano | 70c | 614.78$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Camila Romero | 44c | 605.76$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.41 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Luciana Moyano | 70c | 595.01$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.61 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Luciana Moyano | 69c | 583.75$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Camila Romero | 30c | 472.25$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Luciana Moyano | 70c | 421$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Luciana Moyano | 56c | 408$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luciana Moyano | 68c | 364.89$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Luciana Moyano | 54c | 278.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Luciana Moyano | 70c | 278$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Luciana Moyano | 72c | 229.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Luciana Moyano | 73c | 219.65$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Luciana Moyano | 73c | 148.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Luciana Moyano | 66c | 142.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Luciana Moyano | 61c | 142$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Camila Romero | 30c | 131.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Luciana Moyano | 68c | 129$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Luciana Moyano | 66c | 117.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Camila Romero | 25c | 96.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Luciana Moyano | 63c | 94.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Luciana Moyano | 63c | 88.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Camila Romero | 14c | 78.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Luciana Moyano | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Luciana Moyano | 72c | 68.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Luciana Moyano | 75c | 66.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Camila Romero | 39c | 64.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Camila Romero | 32c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luciana Moyano | 68c | 46.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Camila Romero | 43c | 43.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Luciana Moyano | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Camila Romero | 47c | 37.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…bfbbbacked Luciana Moyano | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Camila Romero | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Camila Romero | 35c | 34.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Camila Romero | 54c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…6797backed Luciana Moyano | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Luciana Moyano | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Luciana Moyano | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Luciana Moyano | 69c | 22.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Luciana Moyano | 75c | 22.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Luciana Moyano | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Luciana Moyano | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.