NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe44248c0dcc8c3d253e693a0874ba04b7322062a4c2601699b11ad94cd793555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Islanders | 19c | 23,341$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.6 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Islanders | 9c | 9,095$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.21 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa351…410dbacked Islanders | 47c | 9,011$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…0474backed Stars | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Stars | 80c | 4,586$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.56 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Stars | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Islanders | 10c | 1,702$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.22 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Stars | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Islanders | 45c | 1,498$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders | 20c | 1,420$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.85 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 16c | 1,358$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 45c | 1,056$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.55 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Islanders | 44c | 1,030$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.88 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Islanders | 46c | 869.46$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 45c | 710$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.56 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Stars | 75c | 622.39$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders | 43c | 513$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.63 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 54c | 511.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed Stars | 71c | 496.89$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Stars | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Stars | 55c | 376.21$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders | 19c | 343.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…138ebacked Stars | 57c | 268.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Stars | 63c | 262.17$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Islanders | 46c | 222.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008e…4fb7backed Islanders | 18c | 222$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Islanders | 16c | 208.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 54c | 194.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders | 45c | 194$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…f304backed Stars | 55c | 181.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Islanders | 47c | 127$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Islanders | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Islanders | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…ab3cbacked Islanders | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Stars | 56c | 107.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa0…fcc4backed Stars | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Stars | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Islanders | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Islanders | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Stars | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Stars | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Stars | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9beb…d6fbbacked Stars | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Islanders | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Stars | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Islanders | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…0f2dbacked Stars | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Stars | 54c | 69.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…b42fbacked Islanders | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Islanders | 44c | 65.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…ed4abacked Stars | 55c | 63.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Stars | 59c | 60.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…6880backed Islanders | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d8…13e0backed Stars | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…070ebacked Islanders | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Stars | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…db11backed Islanders | 44c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…6cfebacked Islanders | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…e736backed Islanders | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Islanders | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Islanders | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Islanders | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Islanders | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Stars | 68c | 37.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…6a63backed Stars | 55c | 36.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…d264backed Stars | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Stars | 56c | 35.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…5eb4backed Stars | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b40…4990backed Islanders | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stars | 54c | 29.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Stars | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Stars | 57c | 28.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f10…bf5abacked Stars | 55c | 28.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6527…6c04backed Islanders | 46c | 27.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…62acbacked Stars | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…d1c6backed Islanders | 46c | 24.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abc…1347backed Stars | 55c | 24.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…867ebacked Stars | 55c | 24.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa482…016cbacked Islanders | 46c | 23.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Stars | 80c | 22.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…01edbacked Stars | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…d291backed Stars | 56c | 20.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7f…cb21backed Stars | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…52b5backed Stars | 56c | 19.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.