Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a177e2f9588d340085183641d7955149a075dd1ee96623163b0e3ae491a09f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.84 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 1,780$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.05 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 49c | 1,735$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.46 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,570$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.26 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 45c | 1,462$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.69 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Over | 33c | 1,460$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Over | 49c | 840.35$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.77 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 50c | 565.51$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.76 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b3d8backed Under | 53c | 473.79$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 243 | 59.3%144 W · 99 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Over | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 50c | 348$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4017…46eebacked Over | 49c | 346.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +245.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 51c | 316.16$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Under | 49c | 304.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 51c | 286.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 50c | 238.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 50c | 236.27$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 389 | 50.9%198 W · 191 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Over | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 51c | 215.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 63c | 208.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…2ee0backed Over | 49c | 201.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Over | 50c | 196.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 64c | 169$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 51c | 151.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 50c | 146.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 61c | 141$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 140 | 32.1%45 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked Over | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +26.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 131.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 66c | 128$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 56c | 126.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 51c | 121.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 50c | 117.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 50c | 117.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…6311backed Over | 50c | 98.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…3961backed Over | 36c | 98.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…d1f3backed Over | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Under | 61c | 95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 49c | 86.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…bd9dbacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…68e6backed Over | 51c | 78.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Over | 51c | 64.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 51c | 62.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 50c | 56.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 50c | 50.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 60c | 43.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 31c | 42.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…adcebacked Under | 76c | 41.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…7527backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Over | 50c | 36.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 46c | 35.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Under | 64c | 30.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…eac9backed Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed Over | 50c | 23.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Over | 50c | 22.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 150 | 17.3%26 W · 124 L | -26.8wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 70c | 17.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.