CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4ad2547402bd03f9e5f21b5b91d3a61887717986d6e41503765cd52eb970ce9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Ground Zero, Abyssal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ground Zero | 78c | 3,268$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.07 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Abyssal | 22c | 2,015$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.11 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Ground Zero | 77c | 1,325$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.67 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ground Zero | 79c | 1,101$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Ground Zero | 79c | 949.37$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.37 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed Abyssal | 21c | 758.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed Abyssal | 23c | 737.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Abyssal | 21c | 686.05$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ground Zero | 78c | 509.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Ground Zero | 79c | 507.23$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed Abyssal | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Abyssal | 21c | 479.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Abyssal | 21c | 456.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Abyssal | 22c | 386.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Abyssal | 21c | 381.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Abyssal | 20c | 324.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Abyssal | 21c | 290$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Abyssal | 4c | 272.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Abyssal | 21c | 266$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Abyssal | 21c | 240.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Abyssal | 21c | 232.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Abyssal | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Abyssal | 11c | 162.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Abyssal | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Abyssal | 12c | 137.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Abyssal | 22c | 137.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Ground Zero | 80c | 131.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Abyssal | 21c | 127.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Ground Zero | 79c | 125.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Abyssal | 24c | 114$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Abyssal | 11c | 109.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Ground Zero | 78c | 106.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Abyssal | 22c | 105.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Abyssal | 24c | 104.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Abyssal | 21c | 101.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Ground Zero | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Abyssal | 24c | 99.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Abyssal | 21c | 92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…1999backed Abyssal | 21c | 83.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Abyssal | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ground Zero | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Abyssal | 21c | 77.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Ground Zero | 80c | 71.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Abyssal | 20c | 68.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Abyssal | 21c | 62.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Ground Zero | 75c | 59.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Ground Zero | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Ground Zero | 76c | 46.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Ground Zero | 76c | 44.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Abyssal | 25c | 42.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Ground Zero | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Ground Zero | 79c | 34.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Ground Zero | 77c | 30.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Ground Zero | 75c | 23.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal - Map 1 WinnerGround Zero won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.