CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Players vs Bad Luck (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4f1e22fd7a73fb0f50f903384c5057ef01b07fab65fbf1a04829ad56641224b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bad Luckof Players, Bad Luck
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc876…5b66backed Players | 1c | 2,700$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Players | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Players | 1c | 1,649$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +191%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…6b57backed Players | 1c | 1,412$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bad Luck | 54c | 1,314$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.1 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Players | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked Players | 4c | 1,200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +283.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed Players | 1c | 1,127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Players | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +900%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Players | 2c | 625.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Players | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Players | 51c | 514.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Bad Luck | 33c | 494.16$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Players | 42c | 462.24$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.82 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Bad Luck | 35c | 450.84$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.84 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Players | 74c | 270.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Players | 51c | 261.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Bad Luck | 44c | 259.54$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Players | 46c | 246.32$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Bad Luck | 28c | 243.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Bad Luck | 38c | 239.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Bad Luck | 31c | 211.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bad Luck | 43c | 208.66$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…d699backed Bad Luck | 50c | 201.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Players | 71c | 152.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.32 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Players | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Bad Luck | 16c | 140.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Players | 75c | 138.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Players | 54c | 133.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5cd3backed Players | 26c | 128.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Players | 63c | 120.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed Bad Luck | 37c | 118.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Bad Luck | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Players | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bad Luck | 43c | 77.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…b39ebacked Players | 22c | 73.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed Players | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x826b…4ac7backed Players | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Players | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Players | 48c | 43.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bad Luck | 31c | 42.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Bad Luck | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Players | 67c | 39.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Players | 62c | 38.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…3c43backed Players | 53c | 34.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…eb63backed Players | 48c | 31.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…2dc7backed Players | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Players | 53c | 21.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…88d6backed Players | 57c | 18.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Bad Luck (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Bad Luck - Map 1 WinnerPlayers won
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Bad Luck - Map 2 WinnerBad Luck won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.